Some Failed Climate Predictions

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Watts Up With That?

By Javier

Here, for the first time in public, is Javier’s entire collection of massive, “consensus” climate science prediction failures. This collection is carefully selected from only academics or high-ranking officials, as reported in the press or scientific journals. Rather than being exhaustive, this is a list of fully referenced arguments that shows that consensus climate science usually gets things wrong, and thus their predictions cannot be trusted.

To qualify for this list, the prediction must have failed. Alternatively, it is also considered a failure when so much of the allowed time has passed that a drastic and improbable change in the rate of change is required for it to be true. Also, we include a prediction when observations are going in the opposite way. Finally, it also qualifies when one thing and the opposite are both predicted.

A novelty is that I also add a part B that includes…

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Attenborough’s Latest Propaganda Piece Ignores The Facts About Walruses


By Paul Homewood


Apparently tonight’s episode concerns itself with walruses, who you guessed) are all going to die because of “melting Arctic ice”.

Below is the part of the programme’s introduction:

It’s a pity the doddering old idiot, David Attenborough, could not be bothered to check the facts with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, who issued this press release earlier this month (my bold):

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service has found that the Pacific walrus does not require protection as threatened or endangered under the Endangered Species Act (ESA). The finding follows a comprehensive review and analysis of the best available scientific information concerning the species, as well as local and traditional ecological knowledge of Alaska Native peoples.

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Our broken energy policies need reform – but don’t hold your breath– Jeremy Warner


By Paul Homewood

h/t Philip Bratby

Jeremy Warner follows up on the Helm report:


Theresa May was quick to endorse the findings and recommendations last week of a review into mental health in the workplace – Thriving at Work – by Paul Farmer, the chief executive of Mind, and Dennis Stevenson, a former HBOS chairman who has been refreshingly open about his own mental health issues. And rightly so. For whatever reasons, mental illness is a growing scourge, and must be treated much more sensitively by employers.

There was a less fulsome welcome, however, for Dieter Helm’s equally compelling review of the cost of UK energy. Greg Clark, the Business and Energy Secretary, would say only that he was “grateful to Professor Helm for his forensic examination. We will now carefully consider his findings.” In Whitehall speak, that’s what’s known as playing it off into the long grass. Privately…

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Death of the polar bear as climate change icon validates Mitch Taylor’s skepticism


By Paul Homewood

The latest post from Dr Susan Crockford:

ScreenHunter_1485 Oct. 29 10.53

You could call it karma — the death of the polar bear icon after the shameful hubris of polar bear experts back in 2009.

That year, the IUCN Polar Bear Specialist Group booted 20-year member Mitch Taylor out of their organization, explaining that his skeptical views on human-caused global warming were “extremely unhelpful” to their polar bear conservation agenda.

Said chairman Andrew Derocher in his email to Taylor: “Time will tell who is correct.”

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Al Gore’s Apocalyptic Fantasy Lecture at Rice University

Watts Up With That?

As promised, I attended Al Gore’s climate change lecture at Rice University last night. Rice University is one of the most beautiful university campuses I’ve ever seen, so it was a delight to see it again. The architecture is outstanding, and the buildings are placed in a garden-like setting. It was lovely to walk from the parking lot to the fieldhouse. The speech was held in a packed Tudor Fieldhouse which seats 5,750. By the time the Rice University Provost was introducing Al Gore, there were no empty seats that I could see, see Figure 1.

Figure 1

A couple of minutes later, when Al Gore came on stage he received a standing ovation, I must say I was a little surprised, like I was in an alternate universe. However, about 40% of Texans vote Democratic and these voters are concentrated in Houston, San Antonio and Austin. As an example…

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On the Cusp of the Next Grand Minimum?

The Next Grand Minimum

One of the signs that we are on the cusp of the Next Grand Minimum is an increase in the number late spring frosts and early on set of winter frost and snow.

The Bonsetreporting world wine production ‘to hit 50-year low due to extreem weather, even though they failed to mention it was due to severe spring frost.

Here are estimates of the drops in wine production by country:

• Italian production will fall 23% to 39.3 million hectolitres.

• French production will drop 19% to 36.7 million hectolitres … its worst harvest since 1945.

• Spanish production will be 15% lower at 33.5 million hectolitres.

• A hectolitre is 100 litres, equivalent to about 133 standard 750mL bottles.

The BBC may blame ‘extreme weather,’ but back in August the French agriculture minister presented a more honest picture, saying that the losses were “mainly attributable to the severe spring…

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